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[real time news website] The Bank of England may start the interest rate cut in the pound in advance to fluctuate back and forth

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  During the European market on Tuesday (January 2), the exchange rate of the British pound against the US dollar was maintained above 1.2730, and the British pound (GBP) traded back and forth within the range of Friday because investors gradually returned to the trading platform after the festival.After the Global manufacturing PMI was released in December in December, some trends are expected to occur.Due to the festive atmosphere, the workers are still on vacation, and the factory data is expected to perform stable.

  Due to the festive atmosphere, British factory activities may be lower than expected.

  Due to the deepening of concerns about economic recession, the British Bank may start rate cuts in advance.

  The main trend of the pound will come from investors' guessing the interest rate reduction time of the Bank of England (BOE).In view of the technical recession of the British economy, market participants are currently expected to cut interest rates from May.So far, the Bank of England's policy makers have not supported interest rate cuts, but the possible economic recession may force them to start discussing interest rate cuts.

  The pound traded in the interval on Friday

  As investors slowly resumed their transactions after the festival, the British exchange rate appeared sharply near 1.2730.In addition, investors are also waiting for new triggers in the field of foreign exchange.

  From the perspective of the daily chart, the pound/dollar currency continues to maintain the 20 -day index moving average (EMA), which indicates that the recent demand is bullish.It is difficult to maintain the trajectory of the dynamic shock index.

  The 50 -cycle simple moving average (SMA) on the 4 -hour chart acts as a dynamic support near 1.2720.If the British pound fell below this level, 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) will become the next key support position.The closing price of 4 hours may attract technical sellers, and open the door for further correction to 1.2650 (the latest upward trend Fibonacci 23.6%withdrawal).


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